Information component |
Pg 4 Health Summary – Indicator Number 16 |
Subject category / domain(s) |
The way we live |
Indicator name (* Indicator title in health profile) |
Prevalence of obese adults (*Obese adults) |
PHO with lead responsibility |
SEPHO |
Date of PHO dataset creation |
15/12/2006 |
Indicator definition |
Prevalence of obesity, percentage of resident population, adults, 2000-2002, persons |
Geography |
England, GOR, County. |
Timeliness |
Updated annually. |
Rationale:What this indicator purports to measure
|
Prevalence of adult obesity |
Rationale:Public Health Importance
|
Obesity in adults is defined for epidemiological purposes as body mass index (BMI) > 30 kg/m2. There is an association between all cause mortality and obesity. Obesity decreases life expectancy by up to nine years. Obesity causes insulin insensitivity, which is an important causal factor in diabetes, heart disease, hypertension and stroke. Obesity is associated with the development of hormone-sensitive cancers; the increased mechanical load increases liability to osteoarthritis and sleep apnoea. Obesity carries psychosocial penalties. Thus there are many routes by which obesity is a detriment to wellbeing. All these penalties as outlined in the table below (except the risk of gallstones and hip fracture) decrease with weight loss.
Proportion of various diseases attributable to obesity (BMI >27 kg/m2) |
Disease
|
Relative Risk
|
Attributable proportion (%)
|
Obesity |
|
100.0 |
Hypertension |
2.9 |
24.1 |
Myocardial infarcation |
1.9 |
13.9 |
Angina pectoris |
2.5 |
20.5 |
Stroke |
3.1 |
25.8 |
Venous thrombosis |
1.5 |
7.7 |
NIDDM |
2.9 |
24.1 |
Hyperlipidaemia |
1.5 |
7.7 |
Gout |
2.5 |
20.0 |
Osteoarthritis |
1.8 |
11.8 |
Gall-bladder disease |
2.0 |
14.3 |
Colorectal cancer |
1.3 |
4.7 |
Breast cancer |
1.2 |
3.2 |
Genitourinary cancer |
1.6 |
9.1 |
Hip fracture |
0.8 |
-3.5 |
Source: http://hcna.radcliffe-oxford.com/obframe.htmlIt is estimated that obesity costs the NHS over £1 billion per year and society as a whole up to £3.5 billion per year. Effective interventions exist to prevent and treat obesity. See NICE guidance – Obesity: the prevention, identification, assessment and management of overweight and obesity in adults and children. http://guidance.nice.org.uk/CG43
|
Rationale: Purpose behind the inclusion of the indicator |
To estimate the proportion of obese adults in local authorities.To help reduce the prevalence of obesity. |
Rationale:Policy relevance
|
Choosing Health: Making healthy choices easier.http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/ PublicationsPolicyAndGuidance/DH_4094550 Obesity: Defusing the Health Time Bomb (from the Annual Report of the Chief Medical Officer, 2002).Tackling Obesity: A Toolbox for Local Partnership Action.Tackling Obesity in England, 2001. |
Interpretation: What a high / low level of indicator value means |
A high indicator value (red circle in health summary chart) represents a statistically significant higher level of estimated adult obesity prevalence when compared to the national value.A low indicator value (yellow circle in health summary chart) represents a statistically significant lower level of estimated adult obesity prevalence when compared to the national value.However obesity at any prevalence level greater than 0 is undesirable, and therefore a low indicator value should not mean that PH action is not needed. |
Interpretation: Potential for error due to type of measurement method |
For each participant in the Health Survey for England, height and weight was recorded by a nurse. BMI was then calculated for all informants who had valid height and weight measurements, those considered to have unreliable measurements were excluded from the analysis (e.g. pregnant, chair-bound, unsteady or those who could not stand straight). Those who weighed more than 130kg were asked for an “estimated weight” because the scales were unreliable above this level. These were included in the analysis.In some sections of the population, applying the BMI classification described above is not always straightforward e.g. when looking at the elderly or different ethnic groups. For example, in certain Asian populations a given BMI equates to a higher percentage of body fat than the same BMI in a white European population. In some Black populations, however, the converse is true. A definition based on waist-hip ratio is often considered a better measure of obesity. However, BMI is most commonly used and easier to measure routinely.There may also be a discrepancy between these estimates and the lower tier synthetic estimates (districts) which are based on modelled data. This has lead to inconsistencies between lower tier and county estimates for some areas as the datasets are derived using different methods. |
Interpretation: Potential for error due to bias and confounding |
The Health Survey for England under-samples younger people, people in employment, ethnic minorities, women, those who are healthier but exhibit less healthy behaviour.These data have not been age-standardised and, therefore, variation between area values may be a result of differences in population structure. |
Confidence Intervals: Definition and purpose |
A confidence interval is a range of values that is normally used to describe the uncertainty around a point estimate of a quantity, for example, a mortality rate. This uncertainty arises as factors influencing the indicator are subject to chance occurrences that are inherent in the world around us. These occurrences result in random fluctuations in the indicator value between different areas and time periods. In the case of indicators based on a sample of the population, uncertainty also arises from random differences between the sample and the population itself.The stated value should therefore be considered as only an estimate of the true or ‘underlying’ value. Confidence intervals quantify the uncertainty in this estimate and, generally speaking, describe how much different the point estimate could have been if the underlying conditions stayed the same, but chance had led to a different set of data. The wider is the confidence interval the greater is the uncertainty in the estimate.Confidence intervals are given with a stated probability level. In Health Profiles 2007 this is 95%, and so we say that there is a 95% probability that the interval covers the true value. The use of 95% is arbitrary but is conventional practice in medicine and public health. The confidence intervals have also been used to make comparisons against the national value. For this purpose the national value has been treated as an exact reference value rather than as an estimate and, under these conditions, the interval can be used to test whether the value is statistically significantly different to the national. If the interval includes the national value, the difference is not statistically significant and the value is shown on the health summary chart with a white symbol. If the interval does not include the national value, the difference is statistically significant and the value is shown on the health summary chart with a red or amber symbol depending on whether it is worse or better than the national value respectively. |